It always annoys me when I see something that boils down to ‘nth order derivative flips sign’ where it’s unclear what order derivative the article is even talking about.

To be clear this is a change in the direction of the trend of the month over month inflation index. So we’re talking about some third order derivative changing sign. Which frankly is about to be expected, at that point any signal is going to be noisy.

The more down to earth statement is that the month over month inflation was very high and has now stabilized somewhat at around 4.5%ish which is still high (works out to about 70% yearly). It needs to be about a tenth of that.

Note that the decrease in the month over month inflation is not a sign of things improving. It is a sign of things getting worse at a slightly lower rate than earlier. That’s what annoys me about using such high order derivatives, it obscures the real problem.

Roughly speaking this article is discussing how far someone has pressed the gas pedal while heading towards a cliff, while the real problem is that they’re pressing the gas pedal (or more urgently they’re heading towards a cliff). Of course that last fact hasn’t changed so they manufacture a news story out of it by finding a derivative that did.

If anything it was the lack of anything happening that made me switch over.

Not sure if that’s what’s meant by ‘open carry’

I mean it’s not the first time they’ve done so.

They definitely didn’t just stop tracking you because this option exists.

Cookies are a non-issue. They store data only locally and can be edited and removed at will. With third party isolation on by default there’s really no reason to worry about them much anymore. And if you do just install cookie auto-delete to clean things up.

This variant is definitely worse because the data is no longer just local.

It’s kind of neat you can launch a version of Visual Studio code by pressing ‘.’ though.

Still not sure why, especially given that it’s pretty much impossible to find out that you can even do that.

Why did the United States enter the Vietnam War?

Not the easiest kind of question to answer with multiple choice…

Movies. You used to be able to just buy them and own the data.

Now you have to pray the other party doesn’t ‘alter the deal’ and if you are proactive about safekeeping the stuff you own you’re a ‘thief’.

Inflation is probably the easiest way to achieve that. You just have to be careful that wages rise along.

One of the better uses I’ve seen involved using this perspective to turn what was effectively a maximum likelihood fit into a full Gaussian model to make the predicted probabilities more meaningful.

Not that it really matters much how the perspective is used, what’s important is that it’s there.

Depends, who’s choosing the experiment?

Just because you don’t know what the uncertainties are doesn’t mean they’re not there.

Most optimization problems can trivially be turned into a statistics problem.

So what you’re saying is that if you put a burrito inside a burrito it’s still a burrito?

You also shouldn’t ask how it manages to light only half of an otherwise flat earth I suppose.

Best explanation I saw involved light curving. At which point you’re just working with a spherical earth in a weird coordinate system.

In their presidential elections at least it’s pretty much by design. It happens because they have 2 rounds.

The first round the far-right option gets a relatively large amount of votes. Then the round after only 2 options remain, so anyone who doesn’t want the far-right option just votes for the only other option. Not sure what happens in general elections, but presumably it’s somewhat similar because there’s still 2 rounds.

As far as election systems go it has quite a lot of obvious flaws, but it’s perhaps not quite as bad as first past the post. At least it makes the tactical voting a bit more straightforward.

Use TOTP wherever possible. It’s standardized, and typically can be found somewhere if you keep digging hard enough.

Plenty of services push their own proprietary systems hard though. Looking at you M$

Keep in mind that for the way UK elects MPs something like Alternative Vote (or even approval voting, which I prefer) would only help with the problem that only 2 parties have any chance of winning in each particular constituency.

It doesn’t get around the issue that ‘% of constituencies where party X wins the election’ and ‘% of votes cast for party X’ are in no way the same thing.

If UK politicians had any sense they’d fix the voting system that let that happen.

Obviously they won’t because that same system put them in power and is currently holding far-right at bay, but it would be nice.

I’d say that’s slightly off. Most terrorists have no intention of actually ruling the regions they terrorize.

These people are more fascists.