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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 12th, 2023

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  • I think it depends on your definition of positive.

    In the short-term I think there will be some economic benefits. Long-term not so much.

    But for positive effects that’s about all I’ve got.

    The political climate will become more divisive.

    Red states will enact more regressive policies driving left-leaning voters out, while attracting large businesses into those states with economic incentives. Which will cause blue states to lose jobs.

    The Democrat party will be pushed further to the right as they try to court the needed electoral college votes from red states, leaving their actual voter base feeling less and less represented and driving resentment from the left.

    All of which will eventually set the stage for a second American civil war within the next couple of decades. Though that assumes we don’t blunder our way into WW3 by antagonizing China with a trade war when they’ve already indicated that they intend to start militarily enforcing their One China policies. A protracted trade war with the US would potentially force their hand. If that happens we will be forced to defend our allies in Asia, particularly Taiwan and China has enough allies and is economically powerful enough that such a conflict could rapidly balloon into a world war. Which would likely stave off an American civil war for at least a few additional decades.

    I think we’re watching the culmination of nearly a century of shortsighted, reactive policies enacted by greedy people that have progressively escalated in a way that you could almost mistake for a long term plan. I don’t think any of this will end well and I think the new administration is in a position to make things significantly worse for a great many people and fully intends to do so. Nothing good will come of this.